But until recently, there was no method to predict the impact of climate change on a single weather event.<\/p>\n
Research links climate change and storm intensity<\/h2>\n
National Geographic<\/a>, <\/em>reporting on Hurricane Florence, stated, \u201cThe rainfall is projected to be more than 50 percent worse than it would have been without global warming, a team of scientists say. The\u00a0hurricane\u2019s size is predicted to be about 50 miles (80 kilometers) wider for the same reason.\u201d<\/p>\n The reason: Warmer waters power the storms, while the warmer atmosphere carries more moisture.<\/p>\n National Geographic<\/em> was referring to a recently published report, \u201cThe\u00a0human\u00a0influence\u00a0on\u00a0Hurricane\u00a0Florence<\/a>.\u201d \u00a0The report was issued on September 12th<\/sup> by a group of researchers from Stony Brook University, in conjunction with the National Center for Atmospheric Research. Lead by Dr. Kevin Reed of the Climate Extremes Modeling Group<\/a> at Stony Brook University, the team simulated the size and rainfall that would have been associated with Hurricane Florence if the global temperature was at pre-industrial, 1850 levels.<\/p>\n The report is the first time scientists have connected a single extreme weather event to climate change. \u201cThis is the first time we\u2019ve done this predictively,\u201d Michael Wehner<\/a>, a climate scientist at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory told National Geographic<\/em>. \u201cClimate change increases the amount of water in the atmosphere that can rain out in a hurricane. It also changes the structure of the storm to make it more efficient at precipitation.\u201d<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Image Credit: Stony Brook University.<\/p><\/div><\/p>\n <\/p>\n The report compares the actual forecasts for Florence to what could have occurred had the temperatures of ocean waters and the atmosphere been cooler. The simulations also set the greenhouse gas concentrations, solar radiation conditions, ozone concentrations, and aerosol concentrations to pre-industrial levels. The team used MATLAB<\/a> for preliminary analysis, the global atmospheric model CAM5, and NOAA\u2019s Global Forecast System for this report.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Mother Nature was in a cranky mood this past week. The Philippines dealt with the wrath of Typhoon Mangkhut, while the east coast of the United States suffered through Hurricane Florence. Yes, it is… read more >><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":138,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1885"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/138"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1885"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1885\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2985,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1885\/revisions\/2985"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/blogs.mathworks.com\/headlines\/files\/2018\/09\/Stony-Brook.jpg\")
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